The reality of the Russian-Ukrainian War

That Kiev will be taken in a protracted or medium-term battle seems certain. That the Americans will sponsor insurgency and a Ukrainian government in exile is also certain. What effect this may have and how sustainable it may be for the Americans on the long run will depend on Russian resilience and survival as well as other cross-border challenges the West may face. The impact of sanctions on western countries and the sustainment of the present demonstrative western show of unity will face the crucial test of time etc.

Yet, Russia's intervention was not a mistake or a miscalculation. Russia was damned if it did. It was damned if it did not. America had concrete evil plans in propping up Ukraine as a strong, long-term Russian adversary. Zelensky's expressed ambition at the Munich Security Conference that Ukraine may rebuild its nuclear capability was an alarm bell which explains Russia's haste to seize nuclear reactors in Ukraine as soon as it's special operations began. If finally proven true, America's long-term design of arming Ukraine and turning it into an experimental base for varying weapons of mass destruction, would've damned Russia if it did not move to occupy Ukraine. The West's complete and spiting disregard for Russia's complaint over NATO's encirclement and NATO's obvious misleading assurance of Zelensky that it would protect Ukraine militarily, left Russia no choice but to nip a potentially devastating conflagration in the bud. This and many more factors explain why sovereignty and territorial integrity plays a secondary role in the final analysis. The web of strategic deceit and manipulations knit by the West against Russia was, simply, too diabolical and destructive. Time will tell if the West's isolation of Russia will destroy Russia as much as an independent and strong adversarial Ukraine would have done.

What is certain, though, is that the West is currently playing its very last card to keep its dominant role in global affairs by first seeking to destroy Russia and then having only an isolated and helpless China to contend with that will be no match for its onslaught. It's best bet is to succeed and that is by no means, guaranteed. If the West fails to destroy Russia and Russia still stands in spite of all the odds (with its nuclear Arsenal et al.) it will face a more formidable Russia in a new world order allied with a resilient China.
So, in the end, if China thinks it will survive a western onslaught after Russia's demise if it happened, it will have a surprise up its sleeves. Nothing best serves China's long-term strategic interest than ensuring here and now, that Russia maintains its strength to be able to ally effectively with China against consuming western/American domination.